Files
DOLPHIN/nautilus_dolphin/COMPLETE_IMPLEMENTATION.md
hjnormey 01c19662cb initial: import DOLPHIN baseline 2026-04-21 from dolphinng5_predict working tree
Includes core prod + GREEN/BLUE subsystems:
- prod/ (BLUE harness, configs, scripts, docs)
- nautilus_dolphin/ (GREEN Nautilus-native impl + dvae/ preserved)
- adaptive_exit/ (AEM engine + models/bucket_assignments.pkl)
- Observability/ (EsoF advisor, TUI, dashboards)
- external_factors/ (EsoF producer)
- mc_forewarning_qlabs_fork/ (MC regime/envelope)

Excludes runtime caches, logs, backups, and reproducible artifacts per .gitignore.
2026-04-21 16:58:38 +02:00

15 KiB
Executable File

DOLPHIN Nautilus - Complete Implementation Summary

Date: 2026-02-18
Version: 0.1.0
Status: All Phases Implemented


Overview

This document provides a complete summary of the DOLPHIN NG HD Nautilus implementation. All components from the VBT-to-Nautilus migration spec have been implemented.


Implementation Status

Phase 1: Foundation (Complete)

Task File Status
1.2 Signal Bridge Actor nautilus/signal_bridge.py
1.3 Basic Execution Strategy nautilus/strategy.py
Environment Setup config/config.yaml, requirements.txt

Key Components:

  • SignalBridgeActor: Redis Streams → Nautilus message bus
  • DolphinExecutionStrategy: Main trading strategy with Grid 5F logic
  • Signal subscription and lifecycle management

Phase 2: Core Logic (Complete)

Task File Status
2.1 Signal Filtering nautilus/volatility_detector.py, nautilus/strategy.py
2.2 Dynamic Leverage nautilus/strategy.py
2.3 Position Sizing nautilus/strategy.py
2.4 Exit Logic nautilus/position_manager.py

Key Components:

  • VolatilityRegimeDetector: P50/P75 regime detection
  • DolphinExecutionStrategy._should_trade(): All filters implemented
  • DolphinExecutionStrategy.calculate_leverage(): Cubic convexity
  • PositionManager: TP 99bps, max hold 120 bars

Phase 3: Execution (Complete)

Task File Status
3.1 SmartExecAlgorithm Entry nautilus/smart_exec_algorithm.py
3.2 SmartExecAlgorithm Exit nautilus/smart_exec_algorithm.py
3.3 Fee/Slippage Tracking nautilus/smart_exec_algorithm.py
3.4 Circuit Breakers nautilus/circuit_breaker.py
3.5 Metrics Monitor nautilus/metrics_monitor.py

Key Components:

  • SmartExecAlgorithm: Entry/exit order management, 5bps abort logic
  • CircuitBreakerManager: Daily loss limit, position limits, API failure tracking
  • MetricsMonitor: Stress-test baseline comparison, Prometheus export

Phase 4: Validation (Complete)

Task File Status
4.1 JSON Data Adapter nautilus/data_adapter.py
4.2 Validation Backtests validation/backtest_runner.py
4.3 Validation Analysis validation/comparator.py, validation/report_generator.py

Key Components:

  • JSONEigenvalueDataAdapter: Load correlation_arb512 data
  • BacktestDataLoader: High-level backtest data loading
  • ValidationBacktestRunner: Run validation periods
  • VBTComparator: Compare Nautilus vs VBT results
  • ReportGenerator: Text/Markdown/JSON reports

Validation Periods:

  • High volatility: Feb 6-14, 2026
  • Low volatility: Jan 21-28, 2026
  • Mixed: Dec 31, 2025 - Jan 7, 2026

Phase 5: Paper Trading (Complete)

Task File Status
5.1 Signal Generator signal_generator/generator.py
5.2 Redis Publisher signal_generator/redis_publisher.py
5.3 Signal Enricher signal_generator/enricher.py

Key Components:

  • SignalGenerator: Extract signals from eigenvalue data
  • SignalEnricher: Add IRP, alpha layer, direction confirmation
  • RedisSignalPublisher: Reliable signal publication with buffering
  • Backtest mode for historical signal replay

Phase 6: Production Readiness (Complete)

Task File Status
6.1 Monitoring Setup monitoring/prometheus_exporter.py
6.2 Alerting monitoring/alerter.py
6.3 Dashboard monitoring/dashboard.py
6.4 Docker Config deployment/docker_config.py
6.5 Documentation deployment/runbook.py

Key Components:

  • PrometheusExporter: All metrics from spec
  • Alerter: Critical and warning alert rules
  • DashboardGenerator: Grafana dashboard JSON
  • DockerConfig: docker-compose.yml, Dockerfiles
  • DeploymentRunbook: DEPLOYMENT.md, OPERATIONS.md, INCIDENT_RESPONSE.md

File Structure

nautilus_dolphin/
├── nautilus_dolphin/                      # Main package
│   ├── __init__.py                        # Package exports
│   │
│   ├── nautilus/                          # Nautilus components
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── signal_bridge.py              # 1.2 - Redis → Nautilus
│   │   ├── strategy.py                   # 1.3, 2.x - Main strategy
│   │   ├── smart_exec_algorithm.py       # 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 - Order execution
│   │   ├── position_manager.py           # 2.4 - Exit logic
│   │   ├── volatility_detector.py        # 2.1 - Regime detection
│   │   ├── circuit_breaker.py            # 3.4 - Operational safety
│   │   ├── metrics_monitor.py            # 3.5 - Stress-test metrics
│   │   └── data_adapter.py               # 4.1 - JSON data loading
│   │
│   ├── signal_generator/                  # Signal generation
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── generator.py                  # 5.1 - Signal generator
│   │   ├── enricher.py                   # 5.1 - Signal enrichment
│   │   └── redis_publisher.py            # 5.1 - Redis publisher
│   │
│   ├── validation/                        # Validation framework
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── backtest_runner.py            # 4.2 - Backtest runner
│   │   ├── comparator.py                 # 4.3 - VBT comparison
│   │   └── report_generator.py           # 4.3 - Report generation
│   │
│   ├── monitoring/                        # Monitoring
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── prometheus_exporter.py        # 6.1 - Prometheus metrics
│   │   ├── alerter.py                    # 6.1 - Alerting system
│   │   └── dashboard.py                  # 6.1 - Grafana dashboards
│   │
│   └── deployment/                        # Deployment
│       ├── __init__.py
│       ├── docker_config.py              # 6.3 - Docker configs
│       └── runbook.py                    # 6.2 - Documentation
│
├── tests/                                 # Test suite
│   ├── test_signal_bridge.py
│   ├── test_strategy.py
│   ├── test_position_manager.py
│   ├── test_volatility_detector.py
│   ├── test_circuit_breaker.py           # NEW
│   ├── test_metrics_monitor.py           # NEW
│   └── test_smart_exec_algorithm.py      # NEW
│
├── config/
│   └── config.yaml                       # Strategy configuration
│
├── docs/                                  # Generated documentation
│   ├── DEPLOYMENT.md                     # Deployment procedures
│   ├── OPERATIONS.md                     # Operations runbook
│   └── INCIDENT_RESPONSE.md              # Incident response
│
├── pyproject.toml                         # Package configuration
├── requirements.txt                       # Dependencies
└── README.md                              # Project overview

Component Details

Signal Flow Architecture

┌─────────────────────┐
│  eigenvalues/       │
│  correlation_arb512 │
└──────────┬──────────┘
           │ JSON files
           ▼
┌─────────────────────┐
│ SignalGenerator     │ (signal_generator/generator.py)
│ - Load eigenvalues  │
│ - Compute vel_div   │
│ - Generate signals  │
└──────────┬──────────┘
           │ Redis Streams
           ▼
┌─────────────────────┐
│ SignalBridgeActor   │ (nautilus/signal_bridge.py)
│ - Consume Redis     │
│ - Validate signals  │
│ - Publish to bus    │
└──────────┬──────────┘
           │ Nautilus Message Bus
           ▼
┌─────────────────────┐
│ DolphinExecutionStr │ (nautilus/strategy.py)
│ - Filter signals    │
│ - Position sizing   │
│ - Submit orders     │
└──────────┬──────────┘
           │ Orders
           ▼
┌─────────────────────┐
│ SmartExecAlgorithm  │ (nautilus/smart_exec_algorithm.py)
│ - Limit orders      │
│ - Maker/taker opt   │
│ - Fee tracking      │
└──────────┬──────────┘
           │ Exchange API
           ▼
┌─────────────────────┐
│ Binance Futures     │
└─────────────────────┘

Class Hierarchy

Nautilus Components:
├── SignalBridgeActor (Actor)
├── DolphinExecutionStrategy (Strategy)
├── SmartExecAlgorithm (ExecAlgorithm)
├── PositionManager
├── VolatilityRegimeDetector
├── CircuitBreakerManager
└── MetricsMonitor

Signal Generator:
├── SignalGenerator
├── SignalEnricher
└── RedisSignalPublisher

Validation:
├── ValidationBacktestRunner
├── VBTComparator
└── ReportGenerator

Monitoring:
├── PrometheusExporter
├── Alerter
└── DashboardGenerator

Configuration Reference

Strategy Configuration

strategy:
  venue: "BINANCE_FUTURES"
  
  # Filters
  irp_alignment_min: 0.45
  momentum_magnitude_min: 0.000075
  excluded_assets: ["TUSDUSDT", "USDCUSDT"]
  
  # Sizing
  min_leverage: 0.5
  max_leverage: 5.0
  leverage_convexity: 3.0
  capital_fraction: 0.20
  
  # Exit
  tp_bps: 99
  max_hold_bars: 120
  
  # Limits
  max_concurrent_positions: 10

circuit_breaker:
  daily_loss_limit_pct: 10.0
  max_api_failures: 3
  max_order_size_pct: 50.0

smart_exec:
  entry_timeout_sec: 25
  entry_abort_threshold_bps: 5.0
  exit_timeout_sec: 10
  maker_fee_rate: 0.0002
  taker_fee_rate: 0.0005

Usage Examples

1. Run Validation Backtest

from nautilus_dolphin.validation import ValidationBacktestRunner

runner = ValidationBacktestRunner(
    eigenvalues_dir="/path/to/correlation_arb512/eigenvalues",
    output_dir="validation_results"
)

# Run all validation periods
results = runner.run_all_validations(
    assets=['BTCUSDT', 'ETHUSDT', 'BNBUSDT']
)

# Compare to VBT
from nautilus_dolphin.validation import VBTComparator, ReportGenerator

vbt_results = runner.load_vbt_results("vbt_baseline.json")
comparator = VBTComparator(vbt_results, results['high_volatility'])
report = comparator.compare()

# Generate reports
generator = ReportGenerator()
generator.save_reports(report)

2. Run Signal Generator

import asyncio
from nautilus_dolphin.signal_generator import SignalGenerator

generator = SignalGenerator(
    eigenvalues_dir="/path/to/correlation_arb512/eigenvalues",
    redis_url="redis://localhost:6379",
    signal_interval_sec=5
)

asyncio.run(generator.start())

3. Run Paper Trading

# Configure
cp config/config.yaml config/config.paper.yaml
# Edit trading_mode: paper

# Start with Docker
docker-compose up -d

# Monitor
open http://localhost:3000  # Grafana

Deployment

Quick Start

# 1. Clone repository
git clone <repository-url>
cd nautilus_dolphin

# 2. Configure environment
cp deployment/.env.example .env
# Edit .env with your settings

# 3. Build and start
docker-compose -f deployment/docker-compose.yml up -d

# 4. Verify
docker-compose ps
curl http://localhost:9090/metrics

Production Checklist

  • Configure API keys in .env
  • Set strong Grafana password
  • Configure backup automation
  • Set up log rotation
  • Configure alerting (Slack/PagerDuty)
  • Run validation backtests
  • Complete 30-day paper trading
  • Document emergency procedures

Testing

Unit Tests

# Install in dev mode
pip install -e ".[dev]"

# Run all tests
python -m pytest tests/ -v

# Run specific module
python -m pytest tests/test_circuit_breaker.py -v

# With coverage
python -m pytest tests/ --cov=nautilus_dolphin --cov-report=html

Integration Tests

# Start Redis
docker run -d -p 6379:6379 redis:7

# Run integration tests
python -m pytest tests/integration/ -v

Validation Tests

# Run validation backtests
python -c "
from nautilus_dolphin.validation import ValidationBacktestRunner
runner = ValidationBacktestRunner('path/to/eigenvalues')
runner.run_all_validations()
"

Metrics Reference

Prometheus Metrics

Metric Type Description
dolphin_signals_received_total Counter Signals received by bridge
dolphin_signals_published_total Counter Signals published to Nautilus
dolphin_orders_filled_total Counter Orders filled (by type)
dolphin_maker_fill_rate Gauge Maker fill rate (0-1)
dolphin_win_rate Gauge Win rate (0-1)
dolphin_profit_factor Gauge Profit factor
dolphin_roi_pct Gauge Return on investment %
dolphin_avg_slippage_bps Gauge Average slippage in bps

Alert Thresholds

Critical:

  • Daily loss > 10%
  • API failures > 3 consecutive
  • Signal latency > 500ms (P99)
  • Maker fill rate < 30%

Warning:

  • Maker fill rate < 48%
  • Slippage > 5bps
  • Win rate < 40%

Next Steps

Pre-Production

  1. Validation Phase:

    • Run validation backtests against 3 periods
    • Verify all metrics within tolerance
    • Generate validation reports
  2. Paper Trading:

    • Deploy in paper mode
    • Run for 30 days minimum
    • Compare performance to backtest
  3. Security Audit:

    • Review API key handling
    • Verify network security
    • Test backup/restore procedures

Post-Production

  1. Monitoring:

    • Tune alert thresholds
    • Add custom dashboards
    • Set up on-call rotation
  2. Optimization:

    • Profile performance
    • Optimize latency bottlenecks
    • Scale if needed
  3. Documentation:

    • Update runbooks with lessons learned
    • Document configuration changes
    • Maintain incident log

Support

  • Documentation: See docs/ directory
  • Issues: GitHub Issues
  • Slack: #dolphin-trading

License

Proprietary - All rights reserved.


Generated: 2026-02-18
Version: 0.1.0
Status: Complete - Ready for Validation Phase