Commit Graph

4 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
hjnormey
af5156f52d feat(esof): rename NEUTRAL→UNKNOWN + backward-compat alias
The mid-band advisory label (constituent signals in conflict) was called
NEUTRAL, implying "benign middle" — but retrospective data (637 trades)
shows it is empirically the worst-ROI regime. Renaming to UNKNOWN makes
the semantics explicit for regime-gate consumers.

- esof_advisor.py: emits UNKNOWN; LABEL_COLOR keeps NEUTRAL alias for
  historical CH rows / stale HZ snapshots
- esof_gate.py: S6_MULT, IRP_PARAMS, Strategy A mult_map all keyed on
  UNKNOWN with NEUTRAL alias (values identical → replays unaffected)
- prod/docs/ESOF_LABEL_MIGRATION.md: migration note, CH/HZ impact,
  rollback procedure

Plan ref: Task 4 — NEUTRAL→UNKNOWN is load-bearing for the EsoF gate
in the orchestrator (0.25× sizing vs 1.0× under old label semantics).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-22 06:07:30 +02:00
hjnormey
0da46d8635 feat(s6/esof): orchestrator single-site S6+EsoF+int-leverage gate
All sizing multipliers now applied at one location (esf_alpha_orchestrator.py
line 565 region) so there are no hidden side-effects and BLUE parity is
trivially preserved by leaving the new kwargs at None/False.

- S6 per-bucket notional multiplier via s6_size_table kwarg
- EsoF regime gate at _try_entry top: reads _current_esof_label, skips
  entry if esof_sizing_table maps to 0.0 (UNFAV/MILD_NEG regime)
- Integer-leverage gate: use_int_leverage=True → leverage_int=1 (FIXED,
  pending prod/scripts/analyze_leverage_winrate.py analysis); float
  leverage_raw preserved in NDPosition + return dict for CH logging
- notional <= 0 → return None guard (prevents 0-notional positions)
- NDPosition extended: asset_bucket_id, s6_mult, esof_mult, esof_label,
  leverage_raw fields (BLUE leaves these at defaults)

Plan ref: Task 2 — sizer stays pure (its returned notional is discarded
by line 565 anyway; adding mults inside would be dead code with hidden
side-effects).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-22 06:07:20 +02:00
hjnormey
ce7f3ce8ff feat(s6): AlphaAssetSelector bucket-ban kwargs (BLUE no-op)
Add `asset_bucket_ban_set` and `asset_bucket_assignments` kwargs to
AlphaAssetSelector.__init__ (both default None → BLUE unchanged).

When active, assets whose KMeans bucket is in the ban set are skipped
inside rank_assets() so the next-ranked asset takes the slot — capital
is preserved rather than wasted by a 0× sizer multiplier.

Plan ref: Task 9 — ban ≠ 0× is the critical caveat from the sprint plan.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-22 06:07:07 +02:00
hjnormey
01c19662cb initial: import DOLPHIN baseline 2026-04-21 from dolphinng5_predict working tree
Includes core prod + GREEN/BLUE subsystems:
- prod/ (BLUE harness, configs, scripts, docs)
- nautilus_dolphin/ (GREEN Nautilus-native impl + dvae/ preserved)
- adaptive_exit/ (AEM engine + models/bucket_assignments.pkl)
- Observability/ (EsoF advisor, TUI, dashboards)
- external_factors/ (EsoF producer)
- mc_forewarning_qlabs_fork/ (MC regime/envelope)

Excludes runtime caches, logs, backups, and reproducible artifacts per .gitignore.
2026-04-21 16:58:38 +02:00