VIOLET V3.2: EsoF size-modulation fold (BLUE SC haircut, exact)

modulation.py: VioletSizeModulation wraps BLUE's canonical esof_size_mult_from_score
+ esof_score_from_payload (exact ESOF_* constants), applies the SC haircut
step-for-step as _apply_sc_entry_size_multiplier (nautilus_event_trader.py:3307):
mult clamped [0,1] HAIRCUT-ONLY (:3316), near-1 no-op (:3318), round(lev*mult,6)/
round(notional*mult,12). 8 tests pass. Empirical mult-recovery on recorded BLUE:
median 1.000, EsoF haircut bands (0.65/0.8/0.9/0.3) visible. NOTE: 28% upward tail
(recorded>base) = NEXT parity step (base mid-range param OR gold/gauge up-mult);
EsoF is haircut-only by design. Not yet wired into decision_engine (needs EsoF HZ
score plane + restart, held).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-06-15 07:53:08 +02:00
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"""VIOLET V3.2: EsoF size-modulation layer — folds BLUE's SC/EsoF haircut.
The base sizer (alpha_wrappers.VioletBetSizer) reproduces BLUE's cubic-convex
conviction curve. But recorded BLUE `leverage` = base_sizer(vel_div) x EsoF_mult
(the SC size gate) — the per-trade scatter the parity harness measured (V3d / the
modulation-vs-underutilization finding). This module folds in that EXACT mult.
FAITHFULNESS — replicates BLUE's `_apply_sc_entry_size_multiplier`
(nautilus_event_trader.py:3307) step-for-step, in order, with the same atomicity:
1. mult = esof_size_mult_from_score(score) (WRAP BLUE's canonical fn)
2. mult = max(0.0, min(1.0, mult)) (:3316 — HAIRCUT ONLY, [0,1])
3. if mult >= 0.999: return base UNCHANGED (:3318 — near-1 = no-op)
4. effective_leverage = round(base_leverage * mult, 6) (:3338)
effective_notional = round(base_notional * mult, 12) (:3329)
The score itself comes from the EsoF payload via esof_score_from_payload (WRAP);
stale/missing → esof_size_mult_from_score(None) = the defensive fallback mult.
Exchange-agnostic (L1): operates on conviction/notional fractions only.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import sys
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any, Optional, Tuple
from .alpha_wrappers import SizeDecision
from .domain import typed
_PROJECT_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[3]
def _import_esof_gate() -> Any:
"""Import BLUE's esof_size_gate (same root-injection as blue_parity/alpha_wrappers)."""
try:
from nautilus_dolphin.nautilus import esof_size_gate # type: ignore
except ImportError:
for p in (str(_PROJECT_ROOT / "nautilus_dolphin"), str(_PROJECT_ROOT)):
if p not in sys.path:
sys.path.insert(0, p)
sys.modules.pop("nautilus_dolphin", None)
from nautilus_dolphin.nautilus import esof_size_gate # type: ignore
return esof_size_gate
class VioletSizeModulation:
"""BLUE's EsoF/SC size haircut, folded onto the base SizeDecision.
Wraps BLUE's canonical ``esof_size_mult_from_score`` / ``esof_score_from_payload``
(no reimplementation → exact ESOF_* constants + band mapping)."""
def __init__(self) -> None:
self._gate = _import_esof_gate()
# ── the EsoF score → mult (BLUE canonical fn + the [0,1] haircut clamp) ──────
def mult_for(self, score: Any) -> float:
"""esof_size_mult_from_score(score) clamped to [0,1] (BLUE :3316).
``score`` is accepted loosely (Any) to mirror BLUE's fn, which robustly
coerces/guards any score incl. None/stale → defensive fallback mult."""
mult = float(self._gate.esof_size_mult_from_score(score))
if mult != mult or mult in (float("inf"), float("-inf")): # non-finite guard (:3314)
mult = 1.0
return max(0.0, min(1.0, mult))
def score_from_payload(self, payload: Optional[dict], **kw: Any) -> Optional[float]:
"""Wrap esof_score_from_payload (HZ EsoF payload → fresh advisory score)."""
return self._gate.esof_score_from_payload(payload, **kw)
# ── apply to the base size, step-for-step as BLUE :3318-3338 ─────────────────
@typed
def apply(self, size: SizeDecision, score: Any) -> Tuple[SizeDecision, float]:
"""Return (modulated_size, mult). Near-1 mult ⇒ base returned UNCHANGED."""
mult = self.mult_for(score)
if mult >= 0.999: # BLUE :3318 — no-op
return size, mult
eff_leverage = round(size.conviction_leverage * mult, 6) # :3338
eff_notional_fraction = round(size.notional_fraction * mult, 12) # :3329 grain
modulated = SizeDecision(
fraction=size.fraction,
conviction_leverage=eff_leverage,
notional_fraction=eff_notional_fraction,
bucket_idx=size.bucket_idx,
strength_score=size.strength_score,
signal_bucket=size.signal_bucket,
)
return modulated, mult

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"""V3.2: EsoF size-modulation — exact replication of BLUE's SC haircut (profuse)."""
from __future__ import annotations
import math
import sys
sys.path.insert(0, "/mnt/dolphinng5_predict")
import pytest
from hypothesis import given, settings, strategies as st
from prod.clean_arch.violet.alpha_wrappers import SizeDecision, VioletBetSizer
from prod.clean_arch.violet.modulation import VioletSizeModulation
MOD = VioletSizeModulation()
G = MOD._gate
def _base(vel_div: float = -0.20) -> SizeDecision:
return VioletBetSizer(base_fraction=0.20, min_leverage=0.5,
max_leverage=9.0).calculate(capital=69_000.0, vel_div=vel_div)
# ── band mapping reproduces BLUE exactly (drift-guarded against live constants) ─
def test_band_values_match_blue_constants():
assert MOD.mult_for(0.0) == pytest.approx(G.ESOF_NEUTRAL_CORE_MULT) # neutral core
assert MOD.mult_for(-0.5) == pytest.approx(G.ESOF_UNFAVORABLE_CORE_MULT) # deepest cut
assert MOD.mult_for(None) == pytest.approx(
min(1.0, max(0.0, G.ESOF_STALE_FALLBACK_MULT))) # stale fallback
assert MOD.mult_for(0.5) == pytest.approx(1.0) # full size
assert MOD.mult_for(-0.15) == pytest.approx(1.0) # mild-neg full
def test_mult_equals_wrapped_blue_fn_clamped():
# mult_for == clamp(esof_size_mult_from_score, 0, 1) for a grid of scores.
for sc in [0.3, 0.05, 0.0, -0.03, -0.07, -0.2, -0.25, -0.3, -1.0, None]:
expect = max(0.0, min(1.0, float(G.esof_size_mult_from_score(sc))))
assert MOD.mult_for(sc) == pytest.approx(expect)
# ── haircut-only [0,1] clamp (BLUE :3316) ──────────────────────────────────────
@given(score=st.one_of(st.none(),
st.floats(min_value=-5.0, max_value=5.0, allow_nan=False,
allow_infinity=False)))
@settings(max_examples=120, deadline=None)
def test_mult_always_in_unit_interval(score):
assert 0.0 <= MOD.mult_for(score) <= 1.0
def test_nonfinite_score_is_safe():
for bad in (float("nan"), float("inf"), float("-inf")):
assert 0.0 <= MOD.mult_for(bad) <= 1.0
# ── apply: near-1 = no-op; haircut scales with exact rounding (BLUE :3318-3338) ─
def test_near_one_mult_returns_base_unchanged():
base = _base()
mod, mult = MOD.apply(base, 0.5) # full-size band -> mult 1.0
assert mult >= 0.999
assert mod is base or mod.conviction_leverage == base.conviction_leverage
def test_haircut_scales_with_blue_rounding():
base = _base() # conviction 9.0
mod, mult = MOD.apply(base, 0.0) # neutral core -> mult 0.8
assert mult == pytest.approx(0.8)
assert mod.conviction_leverage == round(base.conviction_leverage * mult, 6)
assert mod.notional_fraction == round(base.notional_fraction * mult, 12)
# haircut ⇒ strictly smaller size
assert mod.conviction_leverage < base.conviction_leverage
assert mod.notional_fraction < base.notional_fraction
def test_apply_preserves_fraction_bucket_signal():
base = _base()
mod, _ = MOD.apply(base, -0.5) # deep haircut
assert mod.fraction == base.fraction # only size/leverage scale, not fraction
assert mod.bucket_idx == base.bucket_idx
assert mod.signal_bucket == base.signal_bucket
assert isinstance(mod, SizeDecision)
# ── property: modulated size never exceeds base (haircut-only) and stays finite ─
@given(vel_div=st.floats(min_value=-0.5, max_value=-0.021, allow_nan=False),
score=st.one_of(st.none(), st.floats(min_value=-1.0, max_value=1.0, allow_nan=False)))
@settings(max_examples=80, deadline=None)
def test_modulated_never_exceeds_base(vel_div, score):
base = _base(vel_div)
mod, mult = MOD.apply(base, score)
assert mod.conviction_leverage <= base.conviction_leverage + 1e-9
assert mod.notional_fraction <= base.notional_fraction + 1e-9
assert math.isfinite(mod.conviction_leverage) and mod.conviction_leverage >= 0.0