# Event Catalogue — Complete per SENTIMENT_ANALYSIS_ENGINE_SPEC.md Section 5.2 # Version: 2.0.0 # 150+ event types across 12 categories events: # ============================================================ # 5.2.1 Tokenomics (Supply Events) — 16 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "token_unlock" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_shock" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 240 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "lock.?up.*vesting" - "(unl|releas).*token.*circulat" - "tokens.*locked.*release" - "vested" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 720 positive_signals: - "scheduled" - "small" negative_signals: - "large" - "unexpected" - event_type: "token_burn" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_reduction" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "burn.*token" - "token.*burn" - "buyback.*burn" - "permanent.*remove.*supply" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 1440 positive_signals: - "quarterly" - "regular" negative_signals: - "small" - event_type: "token_mint" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_increase" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 120 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "mint.*token" - "new.*token.*issued" - "inflation.*token" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 240 negative_signals: - "unexpected" - "large" - event_type: "inflation_acceleration" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_increase" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "inflation.*increase" - "emission.*rate.*up" - "supply.*grow.*fast" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "inflation_deceleration" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_reduction" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "inflation.*decrease" - "emission.*rate.*down" - "supply.*grow.*slow" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "supply_shock_large" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_shock" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 80 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "massive.*supply.*increase" - "supply.*shock" - "unexpected.*inflation" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "staking_reward_claim" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "staking" impact_direction: "neutral" base_impact: 5 impact_duration_minutes: 60 typical_confidence_floor: 0.60 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "staking.*reward" - "claim.*reward" - "distribution.*reward" decay_curve: initial_drop: 1.0 half_life_minutes: 60 - event_type: "staking_slashing" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "staking" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 180 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "slash.*validator" - "slashed.*stake" - "penalty.*validator" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 360 - event_type: "bridge_liquidity_withdrawal" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "liquidity" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 180 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "bridge.*withdraw" - "liquidity.*bridg.*out" - "cross.?chain.*withdraw" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 360 - event_type: "liquidity_pool_deposit" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "liquidity" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 120 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "deposit.*liquidity" - "add.*liquidity" - "provide.*liquidity" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 240 - event_type: "liquidity_pool_withdrawal" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "liquidity" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 120 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "withdraw.*liquidity" - "remove.*liquidity" - "pull.*liquidity" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 240 - event_type: "supply_cap_change" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_policy" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "supply.*cap.*change" - "max.*supply.*change" - "hard.*cap.*change" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.92 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "treasury_allocation" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "treasury" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "treasury.*allocat" - "fund.*treasury" - "grant.*treasury" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "vesting_schedule_change" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "vesting" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "vesting.*schedule.*change" - "vest.*period.*change" - "unlock.*schedule.*change" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.93 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "token_migration" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "migration" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "token.*migrat" - "swap.*token" - "migrate.*chain" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "supply_reduction_announcement" category: "tokenomics" subcategory: "supply_reduction" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "supply.*reduction.*announc" - "burn.*announc" - "buyback.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.2 Security & Risk — 13 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "security_hack" category: "security" subcategory: "hack" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 95 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "hack" - "exploit" - "drain.*fund" - "stolen.*fund" - "breach.*protocol" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 4320 negative_signals: - "large" - "user.*fund.*lost" - "protocol.*insolvent" - event_type: "security_exploit" category: "security" subcategory: "exploit" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 85 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "exploit" - "vulnerab.*exploit" - "bug.*exploit" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.75 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "security_audit_pass" category: "security" subcategory: "audit" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "audit.*pass" - "audit.*complete.*no.*issue" - "security.*review.*pass" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "security_audit_fail" category: "security" subcategory: "audit" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "audit.*fail" - "audit.*found.*vulnerab" - "critical.*vulnerab.*found" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "rug_pull" category: "security" subcategory: "rug_pull" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 100 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "rug.*pull" - "exit.*scam" - "dev.*fled" - "liquidity.*pulled" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.50 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "exit_scam" category: "security" subcategory: "exit_scam" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 100 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "exit.*scam" - "team.*disappear" - "abandon.*project" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.50 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "bridge_hack" category: "security" subcategory: "bridge_hack" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 90 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "bridge.*hack" - "cross.?chain.*exploit" - "bridge.*drain" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "phishing_attack" category: "security" subcategory: "phishing" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 600 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "phishing" - "fake.*site" - "phish.*wallet" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "ddos_attack" category: "security" subcategory: "ddos" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "ddos" - "dos.*attack" - "service.*unavailable" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "key_compromise" category: "security" subcategory: "key_compromise" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 80 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "private.*key.*compromis" - "key.*leak" - "seed.*phrase.*leak" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "smart_contract_upgrade_failed" category: "security" subcategory: "upgrade_failed" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 55 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "upgrade.*fail" - "contract.*upgrade.*fail" - "deploy.*fail" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "oracle_manipulation" category: "security" subcategory: "oracle" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 75 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "oracle.*manipulat" - "price.*feed.*manipulat" - "oracle.*attack" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "governance_attack" category: "security" subcategory: "governance" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "governance.*attack" - "vote.*manipulat" - "takeover.*dao" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.3 Technology & Development — 16 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "mainnet_launch" category: "technology" subcategory: "launch" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "mainnet.*launch" - "mainnet.*live" - "launch.*mainnet" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "testnet_launch" category: "technology" subcategory: "launch" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "testnet.*launch" - "testnet.*live" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "major_protocol_upgrade" category: "technology" subcategory: "upgrade" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "protocol.*upgrade" - "major.*upgrade" - "network.*upgrade" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "hard_fork" category: "technology" subcategory: "fork" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "hard.*fork" - "chain.*split" - "fork.*activat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "soft_fork" category: "technology" subcategory: "fork" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "soft.*fork" - "backward.*compat.*upgrade" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "api_deprecation" category: "technology" subcategory: "api" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 3600 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "api.*deprecat" - "endpoint.*remov" - "deprecat.*api" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "bug_fix_announcement" category: "technology" subcategory: "bug_fix" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 10 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "bug.*fix" - "fixed.*bug" - "patch.*releas" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "performance_improvement" category: "technology" subcategory: "performance" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "performance.*improv" - "optimiz.*throughput" - "latency.*reduc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "new_feature_release" category: "technology" subcategory: "feature" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "new.*feature" - "feature.*releas" - "launch.*feature" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.96 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "sdk_release" category: "technology" subcategory: "sdk" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 3600 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "sdk.*releas" - "developer.*kit.*releas" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "mobile_app_launch" category: "technology" subcategory: "app" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "mobile.*app.*launch" - "app.*store.*launch" - "ios.*android.*app" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "layer2_launch" category: "technology" subcategory: "layer2" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "layer.?2.*launch" - "l2.*launch" - "rollup.*launch" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "cross_chain_integration" category: "technology" subcategory: "interop" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cross.?chain.*integrat" - "interop.*integrat" - "bridge.*integrat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "smart_contract_deployment" category: "technology" subcategory: "deployment" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "contract.*deploy" - "deploy.*contract" - "new.*contract" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "audit_completion" category: "technology" subcategory: "audit" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "audit.*complet" - "audit.*final" - "security.*audit.*done" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.4 Governance — 10 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "governance_proposal_new" category: "governance" subcategory: "proposal" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "proposal.*new" - "new.*proposal" - "governance.*proposal" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "governance_proposal_passed" category: "governance" subcategory: "proposal_passed" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "proposal.*pass" - "proposal.*approv" - "vote.*pass" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "governance_proposal_failed" category: "governance" subcategory: "proposal_failed" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "proposal.*fail" - "proposal.*reject" - "vote.*fail" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "governance_vote_large_whale" category: "governance" subcategory: "whale_vote" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "whale.*vote" - "large.*holder.*vote" - "concentrated.*vote" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "governance_attack" category: "governance" subcategory: "attack" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "governance.*attack" - "vote.*manipulat" - "takeover.*dao" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "dao_treasury_deployment" category: "governance" subcategory: "treasury" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "dao.*treasury.*deploy" - "treasury.*deploy" - "fund.*deploy.*dao" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "governance_delay_change" category: "governance" subcategory: "delay" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "timelock.*change" - "governance.*delay.*change" - "voting.*delay.*change" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "parameter_change_proposal" category: "governance" subcategory: "parameter_change" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "parameter.*change" - "config.*change" - "protocol.*param.*change" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "emergency_governance_action" category: "governance" subcategory: "emergency" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "emergency.*governance" - "emergency.*action" - "emergency.*proposal" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 1440 # ============================================================ # 5.2.5 Financial Performance (Traditional) — 19 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "earnings_beat" category: "financial" subcategory: "earnings" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "earnings.*beat" - "beat.*earnings" - "exceed.*earnings" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "earnings_miss" category: "financial" subcategory: "earnings" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 55 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "earnings.*miss" - "miss.*earnings" - "below.*earnings" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "earnings_guidance_raise" category: "financial" subcategory: "guidance" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "guidance.*rais" - "rais.*guidance" - "outlook.*improv" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "earnings_guidance_cut" category: "financial" subcategory: "guidance" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "guidance.*cut" - "cut.*guidance" - "lower.*guidance" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "dividend_announcement" category: "financial" subcategory: "dividend" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "dividend.*announc" - "declare.*dividend" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "dividend_cut" category: "financial" subcategory: "dividend" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 45 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "dividend.*cut" - "cut.*dividend" - "reduc.*dividend" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "revenue_growth_acceleration" category: "financial" subcategory: "revenue" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "revenue.*growth.*accelerat" - "revenue.*accelerat" - "sales.*growth.*accelerat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "revenue_decline" category: "financial" subcategory: "revenue" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "revenue.*decline" - "revenue.*fall" - "sales.*decline" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.92 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "analyst_upgrade" category: "financial" subcategory: "analyst" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "analyst.*upgrad" - "upgrad.*rating" - "price.*target.*rais" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "analyst_downgrade" category: "financial" subcategory: "analyst" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "analyst.*downgrad" - "downgrad.*rating" - "price.*target.*lower" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "analyst_initiate_buy" category: "financial" subcategory: "analyst" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "initiat.*buy" - "initiat.*coverage.*buy" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "analyst_initiate_sell" category: "financial" subcategory: "analyst" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "initiat.*sell" - "initiat.*coverage.*sell" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "insider_buying" category: "financial" subcategory: "insider" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "insider.*buy" - "insider.*purchas" - "executive.*buy" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "insider_selling" category: "financial" subcategory: "insider" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "insider.*sell" - "insider.*sale" - "executive.*sell" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "share_buyback_announcement" category: "financial" subcategory: "buyback" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "buyback.*announc" - "share.*repurchas" - "repurchas.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "ipo_announcement" category: "financial" subcategory: "ipo" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "ipo.*announc" - "going.*public" - "file.*ipo" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "spinoff_announcement" category: "financial" subcategory: "spinoff" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "spinoff.*announc" - "spin.*off.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "stock_split" category: "financial" subcategory: "split" impact_direction: "neutral" base_impact: 10 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "stock.*split" - "split.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.6 Market Structure & Liquidity — 24 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "exchange_listing" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "listing" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "listing.*announc" - "listed.*on.*exchange" - "exchange.*listing" - "binance.*list" - "coinbase.*list" - "kraken.*list" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 10080 positive_signals: - "tier.?1" - "major.*exchange" negative_signals: - "small.*exchange" - "delisting.*risk" - event_type: "exchange_delisting" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "delisting" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 85 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "delist" - "delisting" - "remove.*from.*exchange" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "exchange_halted_trading" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "halt" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "trading.*halt" - "halt.*trading" - "suspend.*trading" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "exchange_withdrawal_suspend" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "withdrawal_suspend" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "withdrawal.*suspend" - "suspend.*withdrawal" - "withdraw.*disabled" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "exchange_liquid_staking_launch" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "liquid_staking" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "liquid.*staking.*launch" - "liquid.*stak.*token" - "stk.*token.*launch" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "market_maker_incentive_program" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "mm_program" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "market.*maker.*incentive" - "mm.*program" - "liquidity.*incentive" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "whale_accumulation_large" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "whale" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "whale.*accumulat" - "large.*holder.*accumulat" - "smart.*money.*accumulat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "whale_distribution_large" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "whale" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "whale.*distribut" - "whale.*sell" - "large.*holder.*sell" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "etf_approval" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "etf" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "etf.*approv" - "spot.*etf.*approv" - "sec.*approv.*etf" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "etf_rejection" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "etf" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "etf.*reject" - "sec.*reject.*etf" - "etf.*denied" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "etf_launch" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "etf" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 65 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "etf.*launch" - "etf.*start.*trad" - "new.*etf" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "etf_redemption_large" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "etf" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "etf.*redemption" - "large.*redemption" - "outflow.*etf" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.92 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "liquidity_migration" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "liquidity" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "liquidity.*migrat" - "liquidity.*mov" - "tvL.*shift" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "order_book_depth_change" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "order_book" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "order.*book.*depth" - "depth.*change" - "liquidity.*depth" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "funding_rate_spike" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "funding" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "funding.*rate.*spike" - "funding.*rate.*surge" - "high.*funding.*rate" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "open_interest_collapse" category: "market_structure" subcategory: "open_interest" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "open.*interest.*collaps" - "oi.*drop" - "open.*interest.*plunge" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 2880 # ============================================================ # 5.2.7 Regulatory & Legal — 18 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "regulatory_ban" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "ban" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 90 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "ban.*crypto" - "crypto.*ban" - "prohibit.*crypto" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "regulatory_clampdown" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "clampdown" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 75 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "regulatory.*clampdown" - "crackdown.*crypto" - "regulator.*crackdown" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.75 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "regulatory_clarity_positive" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "clarity" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "regulatory.*clarity" - "clear.*regulation" - "friendly.*regulation" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "sec_investigation_announced" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "sec" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 80 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "sec.*investigat" - "sec.*prob" - "investigat.*sec" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "sec_charges_filed" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "sec" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 95 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "sec.*charg" - "sec.*suit" - "sec.*enforc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "sec_settlement" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "sec" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "sec.*settle" - "settle.*sec" - "pay.*fine.*sec" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "sec_approval" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "sec" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "sec.*approv" - "sec.*clear" - "sec.*greenlight" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "cftc_statement" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "cftc" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cftc.*statement" - "cftc.*comment" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "cftc_enforcement_action" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "cftc" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 75 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "cftc.*enforc" - "cftc.*action" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.80 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "eu_mica_regulation_announced" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "mica" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "mica.*regulation" - "eu.*regulation.*crypto" - "european.*crypto.*law" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "tax_treatment_change" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "tax" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "tax.*treatment.*change" - "crypto.*tax.*change" - "tax.*crypto" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.93 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "cbd_announcement" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "cbd" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cbd.*announc" - "central.*bank.*digital.*currenc" - "digital.*currenc.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "sanctions_imposed" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "sanctions" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 85 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "sanction.*impos" - "sanction.*crypto" - "ofac.*sanction" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "legal_victory" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "legal" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "legal.*victor" - "win.*lawsuit" - "court.*rule.*favor" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "legal_defeat" category: "regulatory" subcategory: "legal" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "legal.*defeat" - "lose.*lawsuit" - "court.*rule.*against" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 7200 # ============================================================ # 5.2.8 News & Media Dynamics — 10 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "mainstream_media_coverage" category: "media" subcategory: "coverage" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "mainstream.*media" - "major.*outlet" - "wsj\\|bloomberg\\|reuters\\|ft\\|cnbc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "breaking_news" category: "media" subcategory: "breaking" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "breaking.*news" - "just.*in" - "developing.*story" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "false_rumor_debunked" category: "media" subcategory: "rumor" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "rumor.*debunk" - "false.*rumor" - "not.*true" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "rumor_unconfirmed" category: "media" subcategory: "rumor" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.60 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "rumor" - "unconfirm.*report" - "speculat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.92 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "celebrity_endorsement" category: "media" subcategory: "celebrity" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 80 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "celebrity.*endors" - "famous.*invest" - "celebrity.*buy" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "celebrity_criticism" category: "media" subcategory: "celebrity" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 70 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "celebrity.*critic" - "famous.*critic" - "celebrity.*against" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "influencer_promotion" category: "media" subcategory: "influencer" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 55 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "influencer.*promot" - "promot.*token" - "shill" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "influencer_exposure" category: "media" subcategory: "influencer" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 65 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "influencer.*expos" - "influencer.*scam" - "fake.*promot" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "viral_news_story" category: "media" subcategory: "viral" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "viral" - "trending" - "viral.*story" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "media_narrative_shift" category: "media" subcategory: "narrative" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "narrative.*shift" - "narrative.*chang" - "new.*narrative" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 7200 # ============================================================ # 5.2.9 Social & Community — 13 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "viral_social_post" category: "social" subcategory: "viral" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "viral.*post" - "viral.*tweet" - "viral.*thread" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "social_media_attack" category: "social" subcategory: "attack" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 65 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "attack.*social" - "social.*attack" - "fud.*campaign" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "community_vote_success" category: "social" subcategory: "community" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "community.*vote.*success" - "community.*approv" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "developer_ama" category: "social" subcategory: "ama" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "ama" - "ask.*me.*anything" - "dev.*ama" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "developer_quit" category: "social" subcategory: "dev_quit" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 50 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "developer.*quit" - "dev.*leav" - "core.*dev.*leav" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "community_proposal" category: "social" subcategory: "proposal" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "community.*proposal" - "proposal.*community" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "subreddit_pump_coordination" category: "social" subcategory: "pump_coord" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 95 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "pump.*coordinat" - "coordinat.*pump" - "pump.*group" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "twitter_pump_coordination" category: "social" subcategory: "pump_coord" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 90 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "twitter.*pump" - "coordinat.*tweet" - "hashtag.*pump" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "discord_pump_coordination" category: "social" subcategory: "pump_coord" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 90 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "discord.*pump" - "pump.*discord" - "discord.*group.*pump" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "telegram_pump_coordination" category: "social" subcategory: "pump_coord" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 90 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "telegram.*pump" - "pump.*telegram" - "tg.*pump" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "community_split" category: "social" subcategory: "split" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "community.*split" - "fork.*community" - "split.*community" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.93 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "governance_forum_debate" category: "social" subcategory: "debate" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.65 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "forum.*debate" - "governance.*forum" - "discussion.*proposal" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.10 DeFi-Specific — 11 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "yield_farming_apr_spike" category: "defi" subcategory: "yield" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "apr.*spike" - "yield.*spike" - "high.*apr" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "yield_farming_apr_crash" category: "defi" subcategory: "yield" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "apr.*crash" - "yield.*crash" - "apr.*drop" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.90 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "liquid_staking_token_launch" category: "defi" subcategory: "liquid_staking" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 45 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "liquid.*staking.*token" - "lst.*launch" - "staked.*token.*launch" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "protocol_insolvency_risk" category: "defi" subcategory: "insolvency" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 85 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "insolven.*risk" - "protocol.*insolven" - "bad.*debt" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.75 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "liquidations_spike" category: "defi" subcategory: "liquidation" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "liquidation.*spike" - "mass.*liquidation" - "cascade.*liquidation" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "collateral_factor_change" category: "defi" subcategory: "collateral" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "collateral.*factor.*chang" - "ltv.*chang" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 4320 - event_type: "borrow_rate_spike" category: "defi" subcategory: "borrow_rate" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "borrow.*rate.*spike" - "borrow.*rate.*surge" - "high.*borrow.*rate" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "dex_pool_imbalance" category: "defi" subcategory: "dex" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 360 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "pool.*imbalanc" - "dex.*imbalanc" - "pool.*skew" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 720 - event_type: "impermanent_loss_event" category: "defi" subcategory: "impermanent_loss" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "impermanent.*loss" - "il.*event" - "loss.*liquidity" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "yield_optimizer_launch" category: "defi" subcategory: "optimizer" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "yield.*optimiz.*launch" - "optimizer.*launch" - "vault.*launch" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "vault_strategy_change" category: "defi" subcategory: "vault" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 2880 typical_confidence_floor: 0.70 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "vault.*strategy.*chang" - "strategy.*chang.*vault" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 4320 # ============================================================ # 5.2.11 Macroeconomic — 15 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "fed_rate_decision_cut" category: "macro" subcategory: "fed" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "fed.*cut.*rate" - "rate.*cut.*fed" - "fomc.*cut" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.98 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "fed_rate_decision_hike" category: "macro" subcategory: "fed" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 55 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "fed.*hike" - "rate.*hike.*fed" - "fomc.*hike" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.92 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "cpi_release" category: "macro" subcategory: "cpi" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cpi.*releas" - "inflation.*data" - "consumer.*price.*index" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "cpi_surprise_high" category: "macro" subcategory: "cpi" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cpi.*above" - "cpi.*surprise.*high" - "inflation.*hot" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.93 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "cpi_surprise_low" category: "macro" subcategory: "cpi" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "cpi.*below" - "cpi.*surprise.*low" - "inflation.*cool" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.96 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "gdp_release" category: "macro" subcategory: "gdp" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "gdp.*releas" - "gross.*domestic.*product" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "employment_report" category: "macro" subcategory: "employment" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "employment.*report" - "nonfarm.*payroll" - "jobs.*report" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "inflation_report" category: "macro" subcategory: "inflation" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "inflation.*report" - "pce.*releas" - "core.*inflation" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "central_bank_speech_hawkish" category: "macro" subcategory: "central_bank" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "hawkish" - "hawkish.*speech" - "tighten.*policy" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "central_bank_speech_dovish" category: "macro" subcategory: "central_bank" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "dovish" - "dovish.*speech" - "eas.*policy" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.96 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "geopolitical_tension_escalation" category: "macro" subcategory: "geopolitical" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 60 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.90 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "geopolitical.*tension" - "war.*risk" - "conflict.*escalat" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.85 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "geopolitical_resolution" category: "macro" subcategory: "geopolitical" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "geopolitical.*resolv" - "peace.*deal" - "conflict.*end" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.95 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "pmi_release" category: "macro" subcategory: "pmi" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "pmi.*releas" - "manufacturing.*pmi" - "services.*pmi" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 - event_type: "retail_sales_release" category: "macro" subcategory: "retail_sales" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 720 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "retail.*sales" - "retail.*spending" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 1440 - event_type: "consumer_confidence" category: "macro" subcategory: "confidence" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 15 impact_duration_minutes: 1440 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "market-wide" trigger_patterns: - "consumer.*confidence" - "confidence.*index" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 2880 # ============================================================ # 5.2.12 Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships — 10 types # ============================================================ - event_type: "m&a_announcement" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "m_and_a" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 35 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "m.?a.*announc" - "merger.*announc" - "acquisition.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "m&a_acquisition_announced" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "acquisition" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 40 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "acquir" - "acquisition.*announc" - "buy.*company" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "m&a_tender_offer" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "tender_offer" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 45 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.85 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "tender.*offer" - "tender.*bid" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "partnership_announcement" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "partnership" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 30 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "partnership.*announc" - "partner.*with" - "collaborat.*with" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "strategic_investment" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "investment" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "strategic.*invest" - "invest.*in.*protocol" - "funding.*round" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "spin_off_announcement" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "spinoff" impact_direction: "mixed" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: true asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "spinoff.*announc" - "spin.*off.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "bankruptcy_filing" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "bankruptcy" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 95 impact_duration_minutes: 10080 typical_confidence_floor: 0.95 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "bankruptcy.*filing" - "file.*bankruptcy" - "chapter.*11" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.70 half_life_minutes: 10080 - event_type: "default_announcement" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "default" impact_direction: "negative" base_impact: 100 impact_duration_minutes: 20160 typical_confidence_floor: 0.98 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "default.*announc" - "miss.*payment" - "fail.*to.*pay" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.60 half_life_minutes: 20160 - event_type: "joint_venture" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "joint_venture" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 25 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.80 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "joint.*venture" - "jv.*announc" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200 - event_type: "licensing_agreement" category: "m_and_a" subcategory: "licensing" impact_direction: "positive" base_impact: 20 impact_duration_minutes: 4320 typical_confidence_floor: 0.75 is_scheduled: false asset_scope: "specific" trigger_patterns: - "licens.*agreement" - "licens.*deal" decay_curve: initial_drop: 0.97 half_life_minutes: 7200