malkhut: Flight9 learnings — markout=quality, queue×flow, depth-for-size

Fable's Flight9/BLUE generalizable features incorporated:

1. Slippage model gains trade_flow_intensity parameter:
   - Estimated from book imbalance (proxy for trade arrivals)
   - More flow → better fills (lower slippage)
   - Fable: 'fill = queue position × trade-flow intensity'

2. Markout = quality concept documented:
   - Score fills by post-fill markout, not just fill/no-fill
   - Maker fills are adversely selected

3. Depth-for-size documented:
   - Spread lies; key on depth-within-K-bps vs order notional

4. Measured fees:
   - BingX maker=2.00bp, taker=5.016bp (over 1,455 fills)
   - BingX commission = NEGATIVE (debit)

5. OB study updated with Flight9 learnings
This commit is contained in:
Codex
2026-07-17 16:18:43 +02:00
parent 8857daedfa
commit bb229833d3
4 changed files with 84 additions and 4 deletions

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@@ -583,9 +583,15 @@ class MinimalCryptoLOBCWM:
if cumulative_levels > 0:
from malkhut.training.slippage_calibration import expected_slippage_bps as _esb
total_book_usd = sum(l.price * l.qty for l in (book_depth or ()))
bid_vol = sum(l.qty for l in (state.book.bids or ()))
ask_vol = sum(l.qty for l in (state.book.asks or ()))
total_vol = bid_vol + ask_vol
imbalance = abs(bid_vol - ask_vol) / max(total_vol, 1e-12)
flow_intensity = min(imbalance * 2.0, 1.0)
expected_slippage_bps = _esb(
state.venue.symbol, cumulative_levels,
new_fill_price * new_fill_qty, total_book_usd,
trade_flow_intensity=flow_intensity,
)
is_maker_fill = (our_action.order_type and our_action.order_type.value == "LIMIT") or our_action.post_only if isinstance(our_action, FulfilmentAction) else False
price_improvement_bps = 0.0