Files
DOLPHIN/nautilus_dolphin/dvae/exp6_stop_test_results.json
hjnormey 01c19662cb initial: import DOLPHIN baseline 2026-04-21 from dolphinng5_predict working tree
Includes core prod + GREEN/BLUE subsystems:
- prod/ (BLUE harness, configs, scripts, docs)
- nautilus_dolphin/ (GREEN Nautilus-native impl + dvae/ preserved)
- adaptive_exit/ (AEM engine + models/bucket_assignments.pkl)
- Observability/ (EsoF advisor, TUI, dashboards)
- external_factors/ (EsoF producer)
- mc_forewarning_qlabs_fork/ (MC regime/envelope)

Excludes runtime caches, logs, backups, and reproducible artifacts per .gitignore.
2026-04-21 16:58:38 +02:00

161 lines
4.3 KiB
JSON
Executable File

{
"gold": {
"roi": 88.55,
"pf": 1.215,
"dd": 15.05,
"sharpe": 4.38,
"wr": 50.5,
"trades": 2155
},
"results": [
{
"name": "A_baseline",
"roi": 88.54671933603525,
"pf": 1.21470506157439,
"dd": 15.046245386522427,
"wr": 50.48723897911833,
"sharpe": 4.378300370204196,
"trades": 2155,
"stop_exits": 0,
"n_override_set": 0,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.0,
"override_trigger_rate": 0.0,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1831,
"FIXED_TP": 324
}
},
{
"name": "B_global_stop=0.003",
"roi": -15.311007798855163,
"pf": 0.9421959562747195,
"dd": 23.306320544359586,
"wr": 38.9917695473251,
"sharpe": -1.9388716865680473,
"trades": 2916,
"stop_exits": 1415,
"n_override_set": 0,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.48525377229080935,
"override_trigger_rate": 0.0,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1139,
"STOP_LOSS": 1415,
"FIXED_TP": 362
}
},
{
"name": "B_global_stop=0.005",
"roi": 13.487121498751875,
"pf": 1.0360002475944843,
"dd": 22.29505159453218,
"wr": 46.31410256410257,
"sharpe": 0.9740585229386011,
"trades": 2496,
"stop_exits": 760,
"n_override_set": 0,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.30448717948717946,
"override_trigger_rate": 0.0,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1401,
"STOP_LOSS": 760,
"FIXED_TP": 335
}
},
{
"name": "B_global_stop=0.010",
"roi": 25.89578156145128,
"pf": 1.0719795562785166,
"dd": 15.20336058967519,
"wr": 49.137549756744804,
"sharpe": 1.9134302248896795,
"trades": 2261,
"stop_exits": 266,
"n_override_set": 0,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.11764705882352941,
"override_trigger_rate": 0.0,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1672,
"STOP_LOSS": 266,
"FIXED_TP": 323
}
},
{
"name": "C_gated_gate=0.65_stop=0.005",
"roi": 16.24755153825665,
"pf": 1.0443608125156127,
"dd": 17.778859717952795,
"wr": 49.166666666666664,
"sharpe": 0.9174633345434939,
"trades": 2280,
"stop_exits": 252,
"n_override_set": 18283,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.11052631578947368,
"override_trigger_rate": 8.018859649122806,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1688,
"STOP_LOSS": 252,
"FIXED_TP": 340
}
},
{
"name": "C_gated_gate=0.65_stop=0.010",
"roi": 35.43917845607325,
"pf": 1.0942200211535686,
"dd": 19.418041939977915,
"wr": 49.954337899543376,
"sharpe": 2.108930895745746,
"trades": 2190,
"stop_exits": 97,
"n_override_set": 17216,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.04429223744292238,
"override_trigger_rate": 7.861187214611872,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1771,
"FIXED_TP": 322,
"STOP_LOSS": 97
}
},
{
"name": "C_gated_gate=0.75_stop=0.005",
"roi": 21.775022456874765,
"pf": 1.0614653153826534,
"dd": 18.745303697036412,
"wr": 49.20424403183024,
"sharpe": 1.2948006583469642,
"trades": 2262,
"stop_exits": 219,
"n_override_set": 15232,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.09681697612732096,
"override_trigger_rate": 6.733863837312113,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1705,
"STOP_LOSS": 219,
"FIXED_TP": 338
}
},
{
"name": "C_gated_gate=0.75_stop=0.010",
"roi": 38.422502318822396,
"pf": 1.101746374983589,
"dd": 19.416920166163333,
"wr": 49.70278920896205,
"sharpe": 2.2247675548672463,
"trades": 2187,
"stop_exits": 85,
"n_override_set": 14320,
"stop_trigger_rate": 0.038866026520347506,
"override_trigger_rate": 6.547782350251486,
"exit_reasons": {
"MAX_HOLD": 1776,
"FIXED_TP": 326,
"STOP_LOSS": 85
}
}
],
"meta": {
"exp": "exp6",
"hypothesis": "proxy_B gated stop reduces DD with less ROI cost per unit vs global stop",
"total_elapsed_s": 1876.4,
"gold_match": true
}
}