"""Quick test: D_LIQ with and without set_esoteric_hazard_multiplier(0.0) to confirm that's the root cause of 181.81% → 145.84% regression. """ import sys, time, math sys.stdout.reconfigure(encoding='utf-8', errors='replace') from pathlib import Path import numpy as np _HERE = Path(__file__).resolve().parent sys.path.insert(0, str(_HERE.parent)) from exp_shared import ensure_jit, ENGINE_KWARGS, load_data, load_forewarner, MC_BASE_CFG from nautilus_dolphin.nautilus.proxy_boost_engine import create_d_liq_engine from nautilus_dolphin.nautilus.adaptive_circuit_breaker import AdaptiveCircuitBreaker def _run(eng, d, fw, call_esof): acb = AdaptiveCircuitBreaker() acb.preload_w750(d['date_strings']) eng.set_ob_engine(d['ob_eng']) eng.set_acb(acb) if fw is not None: eng.set_mc_forewarner(fw, MC_BASE_CFG) if call_esof: eng.set_esoteric_hazard_multiplier(0.0) # Print leverage state BEFORE trading print(f" base_max_leverage = {eng.base_max_leverage}") print(f" abs_max_leverage = {eng.abs_max_leverage}") print(f" bet_sizer.max_lev = {eng.bet_sizer.max_leverage}") t0 = time.time() daily_caps, daily_pnls = [], [] for pf_file in d['parquet_files']: ds = pf_file.stem df, acols, dvol = d['pq_data'][ds] cap_before = eng.capital vol_ok = np.where(np.isfinite(dvol), dvol > d['vol_p60'], False) eng.process_day(ds, df, acols, vol_regime_ok=vol_ok) daily_caps.append(eng.capital) daily_pnls.append(eng.capital - cap_before) tr = eng.trade_history n = len(tr) roi = (eng.capital - 25000.0) / 25000.0 * 100.0 peak, max_dd = 25000.0, 0.0 for cap in daily_caps: peak = max(peak, cap) max_dd = max(max_dd, (peak - cap) / peak * 100.0) def _abs(t): return t.pnl_absolute if hasattr(t, 'pnl_absolute') else t.pnl_pct * 250.0 wins = [t for t in tr if _abs(t) > 0] losses = [t for t in tr if _abs(t) <= 0] pf = sum(_abs(t) for t in wins) / max(abs(sum(_abs(t) for t in losses)), 1e-9) lev_vals = [t.leverage for t in tr if hasattr(t, 'leverage') and t.leverage > 0] avg_lev = float(np.mean(lev_vals)) if lev_vals else 0.0 liq_stops = getattr(eng, 'liquidation_stops', 0) print(f" ROI={roi:+.2f}% T={n} DD={max_dd:.2f}% PF={pf:.4f} avg_lev={avg_lev:.2f}x liq_stops={liq_stops} ({time.time()-t0:.0f}s)") return roi, n, max_dd, avg_lev def main(): ensure_jit() d = load_data() fw = load_forewarner() print("\n=== WITH set_esoteric_hazard_multiplier(0.0) ===") eng_a = create_d_liq_engine(**ENGINE_KWARGS) roi_a, n_a, dd_a, lev_a = _run(eng_a, d, fw, call_esof=True) print("\n=== WITHOUT set_esoteric_hazard_multiplier(0.0) ===") eng_b = create_d_liq_engine(**ENGINE_KWARGS) roi_b, n_b, dd_b, lev_b = _run(eng_b, d, fw, call_esof=False) print(f"\nGOLD TARGET: ROI=181.81%, T=2155, DD=17.65%, avg_lev=4.09x") print(f"WITH stomp: ROI={roi_a:+.2f}% T={n_a} DD={dd_a:.2f}% avg_lev={lev_a:.2f}x") print(f"WITHOUT stomp: ROI={roi_b:+.2f}% T={n_b} DD={dd_b:.2f}% avg_lev={lev_b:.2f}x") if __name__ == '__main__': main()